air quality prediction
Tackling Incomplete Data in Air Quality Prediction: A Bayesian Deep Learning Framework for Uncertainty Quantification
Pian, Yuzhuang, Wang, Taiyu, Zhang, Shiqi, Xu, Rui, Liu, Yonghong
Accurate air quality forecasts are vital for public health alerts, exposure assessment, and emissions control. In practice, observational data are often missing in varying proportions and patterns due to collection and transmission issues. These incomplete spatiotemporal records impede reliable inference and risk assessment and can lead to overconfident extrapolation. To address these challenges, we propose an end to end framework, the channel gated learning unit based spatiotemporal bayesian neural field (CGLUBNF). It uses Fourier features with a graph attention encoder to capture multiscale spatial dependencies and seasonal temporal dynamics. A channel gated learning unit, equipped with learnable activations and gated residual connections, adaptively filters and amplifies informative features. Bayesian inference jointly optimizes predictive distributions and parameter uncertainty, producing point estimates and calibrated prediction intervals. We conduct a systematic evaluation on two real world datasets, covering four typical missing data patterns and comparing against five state of the art baselines. CGLUBNF achieves superior prediction accuracy and sharper confidence intervals. In addition, we further validate robustness across multiple prediction horizons and analysis the contribution of extraneous variables. This research lays a foundation for reliable deep learning based spatio-temporal forecasting with incomplete observations in emerging sensing paradigms, such as real world vehicle borne mobile monitoring.
Air Quality Prediction with A Meteorology-Guided Modality-Decoupled Spatio-Temporal Network
Yin, Hang, Zhang, Yan-Ming, Xu, Jian, Chang, Jian-Long, Li, Yin, Liu, Cheng-Lin
Air quality prediction plays a crucial role in public health and environmental protection. Accurate air quality prediction is a complex multivariate spatiotemporal problem, that involves interactions across temporal patterns, pollutant correlations, spatial station dependencies, and particularly meteorological influences that govern pollutant dispersion and chemical transformations. Existing works underestimate the critical role of atmospheric conditions in air quality prediction and neglect comprehensive meteorological data utilization, thereby impairing the modeling of dynamic interdependencies between air quality and meteorological data. To overcome this, we propose MDSTNet, an encoder-decoder framework that explicitly models air quality observations and atmospheric conditions as distinct modalities, integrating multi-pressure-level meteorological data and weather forecasts to capture atmosphere-pollution dependencies for prediction. Meantime, we construct ChinaAirNet, the first nationwide dataset combining air quality records with multi-pressure-level meteorological observations. Experimental results on ChinaAirNet demonstrate MDSTNet's superiority, substantially reducing 48-hour prediction errors by 17.54\% compared to the state-of-the-art model. The source code and dataset will be available on github.
Can Deep Learning Trigger Alerts from Mobile-Captured Images?
Sarkar, Pritisha, Saha, Duranta Durbaar Vishal, Saha, Mousumi
Our research presents a comprehensive approach to leveraging mobile camera image data for real-time air quality assessment and recommendation. We develop a regression-based Convolutional Neural Network model and tailor it explicitly for air quality prediction by exploiting the inherent relationship between output parameters. As a result, the Mean Squared Error of 0.0077 and 0.0112 obtained for 2 and 5 pollutants respectively outperforms existing models. Furthermore, we aim to verify the common practice of augmenting the original dataset with a view to introducing more variation in the training phase. It is one of our most significant contributions that our experimental results demonstrate minimal accuracy differences between the original and augmented datasets. Finally, a real-time, user-friendly dashboard is implemented which dynamically displays the Air Quality Index and pollutant values derived from captured mobile camera images. Users' health conditions are considered to recommend whether a location is suitable based on current air quality metrics. Overall, this research contributes to verification of data augmentation techniques, CNN-based regression modelling for air quality prediction, and user-centric air quality monitoring through mobile technology. The proposed system offers practical solutions for individuals to make informed environmental health and well-being decisions.
Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning-Based Imputation Techniques for Air Quality Datasets with High Missing Data Rates
Yan, Sen, O'Connor, David J., Wang, Xiaojun, O'Connor, Noel E., Smeaton, Alan F., Liu, Mingming
Urban pollution poses serious health risks, particularly in relation to traffic-related air pollution, which remains a major concern in many cities. Vehicle emissions contribute to respiratory and cardiovascular issues, especially for vulnerable and exposed road users like pedestrians and cyclists. Therefore, accurate air quality monitoring with high spatial resolution is vital for good urban environmental management. This study aims to provide insights for processing spatiotemporal datasets with high missing data rates. In this study, the challenge of high missing data rates is a result of the limited data available and the fine granularity required for precise classification of PM2.5 levels. The data used for analysis and imputation were collected from both mobile sensors and fixed stations by Dynamic Parcel Distribution, the Environmental Protection Agency, and Google in Dublin, Ireland, where the missing data rate was approximately 82.42%, making accurate Particulate Matter 2.5 level predictions particularly difficult. Various imputation and prediction approaches were evaluated and compared, including ensemble methods, deep learning models, and diffusion models. External features such as traffic flow, weather conditions, and data from the nearest stations were incorporated to enhance model performance. The results indicate that diffusion methods with external features achieved the highest F1 score, reaching 0.9486 (Accuracy: 94.26%, Precision: 94.42%, Recall: 94.82%), with ensemble models achieving the highest accuracy of 94.82%, illustrating that good performance can be obtained despite a high missing data rate.
Air Quality Prediction with Physics-Informed Dual Neural ODEs in Open Systems
Tian, Jindong, Liang, Yuxuan, Xu, Ronghui, Chen, Peng, Guo, Chenjuan, Zhou, Aoying, Pan, Lujia, Rao, Zhongwen, Yang, Bin
Air pollution significantly threatens human health and ecosystems, necessitating effective air quality prediction to inform public policy. Traditional approaches are generally categorized into physics-based and data-driven models. Physics-based models usually struggle with high computational demands and closed-system assumptions, while data-driven models may overlook essential physical dynamics, confusing the capturing of spatiotemporal correlations. Although some physics-informed approaches combine the strengths of both models, they often face a mismatch between explicit physical equations and implicit learned representations. To address these challenges, we propose Air-DualODE, a novel physics-informed approach that integrates dual branches of Neural ODEs for air quality prediction. The first branch applies open-system physical equations to capture spatiotemporal dependencies for learning physics dynamics, while the second branch identifies the dependencies not addressed by the first in a fully data-driven way. These dual representations are temporally aligned and fused to enhance prediction accuracy. Our experimental results demonstrate that Air-DualODE achieves state-of-the-art performance in predicting pollutant concentrations across various spatial scales, thereby offering a promising solution for real-world air quality challenges.
Novel Approach for Predicting the Air Quality Index of Megacities through Attention-Enhanced Deep Multitask Spatiotemporal Learning
Khan, Harun, Tso, Joseph, Nguyen, Nathan, Kaushal, Nivaan, Malhotra, Ansh, Rehman, Nayel
Air pollution remains one of the most formidable environmental threats to human health globally, particularly in urban areas, contributing to nearly 7 million premature deaths annually. Megacities, defined as cities with populations exceeding 10 million, are frequent hotspots of severe pollution, experiencing numerous weeks of dangerously poor air quality due to the concentration of harmful pollutants. In addition, the complex interplay of factors makes accurate air quality predictions incredibly challenging, and prediction models often struggle to capture these intricate dynamics. To address these challenges, this paper proposes an attention-enhanced deep multitask spatiotemporal machine learning model based on long-short-term memory networks for long-term air quality monitoring and prediction. The model demonstrates robust performance in predicting the levels of major pollutants such as sulfur dioxide and carbon monoxide, effectively capturing complex trends and fluctuations. The proposed model provides actionable information for policymakers, enabling informed decision making to improve urban air quality.
AirPhyNet: Harnessing Physics-Guided Neural Networks for Air Quality Prediction
Hettige, Kethmi Hirushini, Ji, Jiahao, Xiang, Shili, Long, Cheng, Cong, Gao, Wang, Jingyuan
Air quality prediction and modelling plays a pivotal role in public health and environment management, for individuals and authorities to make informed decisions. Although traditional data-driven models have shown promise in this domain, their long-term prediction accuracy can be limited, especially in scenarios with sparse or incomplete data and they often rely on black-box deep learning structures that lack solid physical foundation leading to reduced transparency and interpretability in predictions. To address these limitations, this paper presents a novel approach named Physics guided Neural Network for Air Quality Prediction (AirPhyNet). Specifically, we leverage two well-established physics principles of air particle movement (diffusion and advection) by representing them as differential equation networks. Then, we utilize a graph structure to integrate physics knowledge into a neural network architecture and exploit latent representations to capture spatio-temporal relationships within the air quality data. Experiments on two real-world benchmark datasets demonstrate that AirPhyNet outperforms state-of-the-art models for different testing scenarios including different lead time (24h, 48h, 72h), sparse data and sudden change prediction, achieving reduction in prediction errors up to 10%. Moreover, a case study further validates that our model captures underlying physical processes of particle movement and generates accurate predictions with real physical meaning.
AirFormer: Predicting Nationwide Air Quality in China with Transformers
Liang, Yuxuan, Xia, Yutong, Ke, Songyu, Wang, Yiwei, Wen, Qingsong, Zhang, Junbo, Zheng, Yu, Zimmermann, Roger
Air pollution is a crucial issue affecting human health and livelihoods, as well as one of the barriers to economic and social growth. Forecasting air quality has become an increasingly important endeavor with significant social impacts, especially in emerging countries like China. In this paper, we present a novel Transformer architecture termed AirFormer to collectively predict nationwide air quality in China, with an unprecedented fine spatial granularity covering thousands of locations. AirFormer decouples the learning process into two stages -- 1) a bottom-up deterministic stage that contains two new types of self-attention mechanisms to efficiently learn spatio-temporal representations; 2) a top-down stochastic stage with latent variables to capture the intrinsic uncertainty of air quality data. We evaluate AirFormer with 4-year data from 1,085 stations in the Chinese Mainland. Compared to the state-of-the-art model, AirFormer reduces prediction errors by 5%~8% on 72-hour future predictions. Our source code is available at https://github.com/yoshall/airformer.
Deep Learning for Air Quality Prediction
Traditional neural networks can't do this, and it seems like a major shortcoming. For example, imagine you want to classify what kind of event is happening at every point in a movie. It's unclear how a traditional neural network could use its reasoning about previous events in the film to inform later ones. Recurrent neural networks address this issue. They are networks with loops in them, allowing information to persist.
High-Resolution Air Quality Prediction Using Low-Cost Sensors
Cassard, Thibaut, Jauvion, Grégoire, Lissmyr, David
The use of low-cost sensors in air quality monitoring networks is still a much-debated topic among practitioners: they are much cheaper than traditional air quality monitoring stations set up by public authorities (a few hundred dollars compared to a few dozens of thousand dollars) at the cost of a lower accuracy and robustness. This paper presents a case study of using low-cost sensors measurements in an air quality prediction engine. The engine predicts jointly PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations in the United States at a very high resolution in the range of a few dozens of meters. It is fed with the measurements provided by official air quality monitoring stations, the measurements provided by a network of more than 4000 low-cost sensors across the country, and traffic estimates. We show that the use of low-cost sensors' measurements improves the engine's accuracy very significantly. In particular, we derive a strong link between the density of low-cost sensors and the predictions' accuracy: the more low-cost sensors are in an area, the more accurate are the predictions. As an illustration, in areas with the highest density of low-cost sensors, the low-cost sensors' measurements bring a 25% and 15% improvement in PM2.5 and PM10 predictions' accuracy respectively. An other strong conclusion is that in some areas with a high density of low-cost sensors, the engine performs better when fed with low-cost sensors' measurements only than when fed with official monitoring stations' measurements only: this suggests that an air quality monitoring network composed of low-cost sensors is effective in monitoring air quality. This is a very important result, as such a monitoring network is much cheaper to set up.